πŸ“Š The great fintech valuation correction: When IPOs loom, multiples shrink πŸ“Š

Fintech funding is back in FY25. Across the board, from early to late stage, and across fintech segments investors are deploying capital again

πŸš€πŸ’‘Payments (B2B - PAs & Infra)

βœ… Cashfree: $53M raise in FY25 @ $700M val β†’ ~9x revenue multiple
βœ… Easebuzz: $30M raise in FY25 @ $200M val β†’ ~2.59x
βœ… Juspay: $60M raise @ $1B valuation β†’ ~24x (from 33x in '22). Expectation: <20x on FY25 rev
βœ… PayU: $120M raise from Prosus (parent) in FY25 @ $4.2B val in FY24 β†’ ~8.86x

πŸ’‘Comparables: Recently raised payment fintechs are at rev multiples of 5-9x. Compared to Stripe (~17.5x net / 3.8x gross) and Adyen (~27x net), assuming reported revenues are net, Indian players are in line basis domestic scale (Stripe + Adyen have significant intl plays)

πŸ‘‰ Established, soon to IPO fintechs that have not raised in ~2 years: Razorpay (24.5x), PhonePe (19x), Pinelabs (37x) are at rev multiples of 18x+. They need minimum 30-50% rev growth in FY25 to justify $B valuations. Not impossible: PhonePe grew 74% from FY23 - 24, Razorpay projected rev growth in FY24-25 is ~50%, and Groww rev grew by ~31% in FY24 - 25. (assuming net revenues reported)

πŸš€πŸ’‘ Super Apps (B2C)

βœ… CRED: FY25 $75M raise @ $3.5B valβ†’ down from $6.4B val in '22. Now at ~9.7x. (down from 128x in FY22)
βœ… Navi: FY24 val of $2B. FY25 rev of $267M β†’ ~7.5x

πŸ‘‰ Comparables: Paytm in June '25 had ~$6.7B mkt cap β†’ ~8.3 rev x. Global benchmarks such as Chime are also a good reference. (a US B2C Neobank). June '25 IPO $16B mkt cap and FY25 rev of ~$1.7B β†’ 9.41x. The 7-10x range is in line with CRED & Navi

πŸš€πŸ’‘Lending (BNPL & SME)

βœ… Kissht: FY25 IPO planned @ $1.1B val β†’ ~5.6x rev multiple
βœ… Flexiloans: FY25 $44M raise @ $140M valβ†’ ~4.5x
βœ… Snapmint: FY25 $40M raise @ $160M valβ†’ ~8.8x

πŸ‘‰ Comparables: In FY25 DMI Finance β†’ ~9.6x, Bajaj Finance β†’ ~8.3x. Indian lending fintechs are sub ~10x. Even with a better macro setup (repo cut from 6.5% β†’ 5.5%, reserve ratio from 125% to 100%), underwriting & data quality remain key. I'd expect this to be closer to ~5x (like Kissht, Flexiloans) for lending fintechs, keeping DMI & Bajaj scale in mind

πŸš€πŸ’‘Wealth-tech (Broking, FD, Advisory)

βœ… Groww: FY25 $202M pre-IPO raise @ $7B valβ†’ ~14.6x
βœ… Dhan: FY25 $200M raise @ $1.1B val β†’ ~10.2x
βœ… Stablemoney: FY25 $20M Series B @ $130M val β†’ ~18–25x (have estimated FY25 revenues - calculations in deep dive)
βœ… Powerup Money: $7.1 seed in FY25 (spin off UNI cards)

πŸ‘‰ Comparables: Zerodha at ~3.5-7x and Angel One are lower at ~5x, but newer players are integrating AI and hyper-personalizing for stickier users. 10x+ justified if engagement sticks

Fintech funding is back with stakeholders aligned on saner numbers. Fintechs which have raised in FY25 have reduced valuation, rev x, or both. The 25-100x era is done

🧠 Detailed calculations, projections + insights in the deep dive. Link in comments!

Note: Views expressed are my own and not of my employer


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